John W. Payne 
Member since Mar 28, 2013


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Re: “Poll: Half of Missourians support marijuana legalization

Mike, I don't think you know much about how polling works. Most *nationwide* polls only sample 1,000 adults, and 500 is also fairly common at the national level. Lowering the sample size increases the margin of error, but the confidence interval is still over 95 percent, which is the standard for any reliable piece of social science.

I should know, I helped write many of the questions for the poll, and we were not interested in just creating something that gave us the answers we wanted to hear. We wanted that poll to help us assess the viability of a 2014 legalization campaign in Missouri, and unreliable numbers would not be very helpful.

15 likes, 2 dislikes
Posted by John W. Payne on 03/28/2013 at 1:22 AM

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