Smart guys that they are, the Outsiders are unsure of what to make of the 2011 Chiefs. When the analysts fed Kansas City's numbers into the STRAM 6000*, the computer began to smoke and wheeze. This is from the 2011 almanac:
When we crunch the numbers and run our 10,000 season simulations, the Football Outsiders supercomputer spits out two basic types of results. One is each team's mean projection, which we present at the beginning of each chapter. The other thing we get from the supercomputer is the standard deviation associated with each team's mean projection. We also present this at the beginning of the chapter, albeit translated into the form of a probability associated with a given range of win totals. This year, Kansas City ended up with the largest standard deviation of the 32 projections, meaning that our model is more uncertain about the fate of the 2011 Chiefs than it is about any other team.Loosely translated, fans shouldn't be surprised if the Chiefs win or lose 10 games. In any case, head coach Todd Haley is going to get in someone's face when a TV camera is trained on him.
In other Arrowhead-related news, one local man is making a reasonable request. He wants fans to sing the words "home of the brave" (not "Chiefs") when the national anthem is performed at the September 11 opener against Buffalo. Do it for America, guys.
Hat tips: Deadpsin, KSHB Channel 41
* Not the machine's actual name